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Smart sports betting, and football betting certainly, is in accordance with the skills of the teams involved instead of random chance. This difference profoundly affects the appropriate betting strategies or systems. Understanding this difference is what makes a highly effective sports bettor.

Many of the betting systems and strategies available today are based upon general probabilities of a win or loss and also are modified versions of systems developed for games of chance. However, sports betting - and even poker - is just not determined by random chance and probabilities, but on the skill of the contestants. Consequently the underlying premise of sport betting is significantly different than betting on games of chance.

Although most gambling strategies designed for games of chance are mathematically unsound, in practice if one has roughly a 50% chance of winning, these systems can at least appear to offer an effective means of betting. Within the long term, the failure of such systems might be more or less inevitable because it is based upon the Gambler's Fallacy. Gambler's Fallacy will be the mistaken impression that particular results are "due" based upon previous outcomes in a series of independent trials of a random process. For instance, the if one is tossing coins, and heads come up repeatedly, the gambler may conclude that what this means is tails is "due" to come up next; whereas, in all reality, the chances that the next coin toss will contribute to tails is precisely the exact same no matter the range of times heads has come up already.

In skill-based wagering, the bettor with the most familiarity with the contestants involved has a definite advantage over visit the up coming internet site bettor which is hoping that the desired outcome "is due" based on probabilities. There isn't any sound mathematical probability that any specific football team "is due" anything. Just think of Arsenal that won 14 consecutive games in 2002, or Derby County F.C. that lost 37 consecutive games in 2007-08. The major point for these runs was the skill of the teams, not random chance.

That's not to claim that random chance isn't involved, of-course it is. Any team may make mistakes or have accidents, leading to upsets and surprise outcomes. Nonetheless the smart sports bettor knows that the skill level of the team in question will be much more prone to influence the outcome than chance and luck. This is what makes a successful sports bettor over time. Anyone can get lucky occasionally, but if one learns to make intelligent bets in accordance with the skills of the teams involved, one is much more prone to win significant amounts of money over the long haul.